Passion and Confidence in Success as Unaccounted Factors for ICB 4.0 IPMA Model

Abstract

The article proposes to consider an approach to the analysis of complex systems using elements of decision theory and game theory. This approach is a continuation of the comprehensive approach to the analysis of the internal relationships of the structure of the model of individual competencies of project managers, proposed by the International Project Management Association, carried out using various methods and tools by the authors for over 10 years. As a basis for the analysis, the adjacency matrix for the Markov model is used, built on the basis of the analysis of the content of the IPMA ICB 4.0 standard, which is further considered as a «decision matrix». The number of connections between the elements of the model is interpreted as the degree of «power» of the «reaction of nature» to the use of one or another element as a «strategy of the players» in the analysis of cooperative games. It is proposed to consider such criteria for choosing control strategies, which are based on the use of modeling the values of a pair of interrelated parameters «gambler's position» − «cautious gambler's position», used in a number of decision-making criteria in game theory. Under the «passion» is proposed to consider the degree of confidence in the success of the project. The relationship between the degree of such «passion» and the level of significance of specific elements of the competence of the project manager of the ICB model is shown. A hypothesis is proposed about the relationship between emotional and technical intelligence in the success of project management and the importance of taking this parameter into account when forming project teams