Аннотация:
The information technology (IT) market occupies a significant place
in the world’s economy and in times of rapid digitalization will only continue to
increase its influence. Under conditions of environment’s increased functioning
entropy caused by crises or military conflicts, the importance of IT industry’s
stable functioning can’t be overstated. This paper considers the possibility of
fuzzy decision support systems (DSS) efficient usage to forecast and predict the
dynamics of IT industry functioning at a scope of a single country, using
Ukraine’s IT industry as an example.
The software platform used for demonstration purposes is the authentically designed fuzzy DSS FuzzyKIDE. The mathematical basis of platform’s functioning is fuzzy logic, which makes it possible to take into account the influences of
a set of factors of different nature and obtain a reasonable assessment with potentially inaccurate information. The structure of DSS is offered, using a combined model of the semantic network and fuzzy implication rules. Fuzzy rules
are based on predetermined relationships between key influence factors, the
analysis of which is offered as well.
The use of the DSS is aimed at forming a holistic forecast of IT industry development. The operation of the DSS is demonstrated on the example of Ukraine’s
IT industry functioning in different points in time. Comparing the conclusions
of the DSS with the historical statistical data of Ukraine’s IT industry functioning proves the feasibility of fuzzy DSS usage
